June 8, 2009
Updated Forecast: Two IC Products Forecast to Grow in Tough '09
WSTS (Worldwide Semiconductor Trade Statistics) classifies ICs into 29 distinct product categories. Only two of these segments—Telecom-Analog and Telecom-Special Purpose Logic/MPR—are forecast to show revenue growth in 2009 according to a just-released market forecast from IC Insights.
Spurred by the ongoing movement to higher-end cellphones (i.e., smartphones), the Telecom-Analog IC market is forecast to grow 4% to $8.3 billion and the Telecom-Special Purpose Logic market is now forecast to increase 14% to $22.2 billion in 2009. Besides wireless handsets, basestations, Bluetooth connections, and Wi-Fi networks are also helping to drive growth in these IC segments.
As shown in Figure 1, cellphone unit shipments are forecast to decline 8% in 2009, yet significant quarterly growth is expected from the low-point exhibited in 1Q09. In fact, 4Q09 cellphone unit shipments are forecast to be 27% greater than in 1Q09 and higher than any quarter of 2008!
Among all cellphones, 3G smartphones continue to represent an increasing portion of shipments. These feature-rich, high-end phones and the infrastructure needed to support them require a significant amount of leading-edge logic, a large amount of memory, and analog ICs specific for telecom applications. According to IC Insights' research, smartphones accounted for 15% of the 245 million cellphone units shipped in 1Q09 and are forecast to represent slightly more than 20% of the 310 million cellphone shipments in 4Q09.
Aside from increases in these two wireless-telecom IC segments, all other product categories are forecast to decrease in sales in 2009.
Details and forecasts of the cellphone market can be found in the 2009 edition of IC Insights' IC Market Drivers—A Study of Emerging and Major End-Use Applications Fueling Demand for Integrated Circuits. The report examines the leading applications for ICs and evaluates the potential growth for new applications that are expected to fuel the market for ICs through 2012. Price: $2,490 in three-ring binder or CD format.
For more information, please visit www.icinsights.com/prodsrvs/marketdrivers/.
IC Insights' market forecasts for all semiconductors, including ICs and optoelectronics, sensors, and discrete components, will be featured in IC Insights' Mid-Year Update to The McClean Report, which will be released in late July.
For more information, please visit www.icinsights.com/prodsrvs/mcclean/.
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About IC Insights
IC Insights, Inc., based in Scottsdale, Arizona, is dedicated to providing high-quality, cost-effective market research for the semiconductor industry. Founded in 1997, IC Insights offers coverage of global economic trends, semiconductor market forecasts, capital spending and fab capacity trends, product market details, and technology trends, as well as complete IC company profiles and evaluations of end-use applications driving demand for ICs.