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IC Insights Announces Forecasted 2005 Top 20 Semiconductor Supplier Ranking

Sony jumps into top 10 ranking; NEC falls four positions

IC Insights today released its 2005 forecast of the worldwide top 20 semiconductor suppliers (Figure 1).  All companies in the top 20 ranking are forecast to have semiconductor sales of at least $3 billion, about the same dollar amount needed to construct a high-volume 300mm wafer fabrication facility. 

As shown, Sony, which ranked 12th in the full-year 2004 listing, is expected to move into the 9th position in 2005.  NEC is forecast to fall from being ranked 9th in 2004 to 13th in 2005.  The top 10 listing for 2005 is expected to include three European, three Japanese, two U.S., one South Korean, and one Taiwanese company.  Three out of the five suppliers forecast to lose position in the 2005 ranking are Japanese companies.

Only four of the top 10 ranked companies (Sony, Intel, Samsung, and Toshiba) are forecast to register better growth than the 2005 total semiconductor industry growth rate of 7 percent.  Moreover, only two companies ranked from 11th to 20th are forecast to better the 2005 industry growth rate—AMD/Spansion and Qualcomm.

As shown, Sony is expected to post the highest growth rate of any top 20 semiconductor supplier in 2005—19 percent.  It should be noted that Sony is set to achieve this growth rate primarily on the strength of its internal transfers, not external sales.  In fact, Sony’s external semiconductor sales are forecast to decline by about 20 percent in 2005.  In contrast, driven by video game consoles, MP3 players, digital TVs, and other consumer systems, its internal transfer sales of semiconductors are expected to surge by about 50 percent in 2005.

Intel is expected to easily maintain its hold on the number one spot this year, having twice the semiconductor sales of second-place Samsung.  Yet, the most impressive attribute concerning Intel in 2005 is its forecasted growth rate of 15 percent.  Although it is a mammoth semiconductor company, growing at twice the industry rate is truly impressive (unfortunately its stock price has not reflected this success).

In total, the top 10 semiconductor companies are forecast to show an 8 percent sales increase in 2005 while the top 20 are expected to post a 6 percent jump.  IC Insights’ forecast of a 7 percent increase in total 2005 semiconductor industry sales falls in between these growth rates.

About IC Insights

IC Insights, Inc., based in Scottsdale, Arizona, is dedicated to providing high-quality, cost-effective market research for the integrated circuit industry. Founded in 1997, IC Insights offers coverage of global economic trends, IC market forecasts, capital spending and fab capacity trends, product market details, and technology trends, as well as complete IC company profiles and evaluations of end-use applications driving demand for ICs.

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